Coffee Prices Jump as Rain Slows Brazil’s Harvest
Arabica coffee prices jumped in late June 2026 as rain disrupted Brazil’s harvest, spiking ~3.4% on June 23, though prices stay well below 2025’s $4-plus record.
TL;DR — Arabica coffee prices jumped in late June 2026 as rain disrupted Brazil’s harvest, with futures spiking about 3.4% on June 23 toward $2.78/lb — though prices remain well below 2025’s $4-plus record as a larger crop looms.
Your morning coffee got a little more expensive to source this week, thanks to the weather in Brazil. Arabica futures spiked in late June.
The move
On June 23, 2026, September arabica futures jumped about 3.35%, with prices reaching nearly $2.78/lb, the highest since mid-May, as rain disrupted Brazil’s harvest. By June 26 arabica settled near 273¢/lb. Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest was 39% complete as of June 17 (vs. 43% a year earlier), but analysts still project a larger crop of 71.4–75.9 million bags (up 12–15% year over year), capping the upside.
| Metric | Figure |
|---|---|
| June 23 move | ~+3.35% |
| Price | ~$2.78/lb (then ~273¢) |
| Harvest progress (June 17) | 39% |
| 2026/27 crop | 71.4–75.9M bags (+12–15%) |
What they said
"A new cold front is supporting rains over southern Brazil, impacting field activities and potentially affecting the quality of the coffee crop." — Climatempo, Brazilian meteorology service (via Barchart)
Why it matters
- Brazil sets the price. As the top arabica grower, its weather drives global coffee costs.
- Volatile but off the peak. Prices remain far below 2025’s $4-plus record.
- A bigger crop looms. The on-year of Brazil’s biennial cycle limits how far prices can run.
FAQ
Why did coffee prices rise in late June 2026?
Rain from a cold front over southern Brazil disrupted the 2026/27 harvest, pushing September arabica futures up about 3.35% on June 23 toward $2.78 per pound — the highest since mid-May.
Are coffee prices still near record highs?
No. Despite the late-June spike, arabica (around 273¢/lb by June 26) remains well below the September 2025 record of just over $4 per pound, and a larger Brazilian crop is expected to cap further gains.
Sources
Image: “A cup of coffee” by Julius Schorzman, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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